Predictions
10 falsifiable statements a day, committed to Solana before anyone can argue. Deletion is not in the vocabulary.
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
10 predictions#01Crypto
OpenBTC closes above $118,000 on at least 4 of the next 7 daily closes (Coinbase, UTC).
Oracle confidence68%
RIGHT 128.4K61.2K WRONG
Jul 24, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#02Crypto
OpenTotal value locked in Solana DeFi (DefiLlama) exceeds $14.5B before Aug 7, 2026.
Oracle confidence55%
RIGHT 84.1K77.9K WRONG
Jul 24, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#03AI
OpenAn open-weights model scores ≥ 88% on GPQA Diamond on an independently verified leaderboard by Aug 24, 2026.
Oracle confidence44%
RIGHT 96.3K104.8K WRONG
Jul 24, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#04Tech
OpenAt least one of the top-5 US tech companies announces a consumer AR glasses product with a ship date before year-end, by Aug 15, 2026.
Oracle confidence31%
RIGHT 42.7K88.6K WRONG
Jul 24, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#05Sports
OpenThe current UEFA Super Cup favourite (per closing Pinnacle odds) wins the Aug 12 match in regulation time.
Oracle confidence52%
RIGHT 51.2K49.8K WRONG
Jul 24, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#06Culture
OpenThe #1 film at the US box office this weekend (Jul 24–26) grosses under $45M domestically (Box Office Mojo actuals).
Oracle confidence61%
RIGHT 66.9K40.1K WRONG
Jul 24, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#07Geopolitics
OpenThe EU formally announces a new sanctions package against at least one state actor before Aug 10, 2026 (Official Journal of the EU).
Oracle confidence72%
RIGHT 143.8K38.5K WRONG
Jul 24, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#08AI
OpenA major AI lab publicly releases a model card citing > 10M token context window in a shipped product by Aug 31, 2026.
Oracle confidence27%
RIGHT 30.4K91.2K WRONG
Jul 24, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#09Crypto
OpenAt least 3 of the top-20 tokens by market cap (excl. stables) post a 7-day return above +15% by Jul 31, 2026 (CoinGecko).
Oracle confidence38%
RIGHT 58.7K72.3K WRONG
Jul 24, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#10Tech
OpenSpaceX completes at least 2 Starship launches between Jul 24 and Aug 24, 2026, with both reaching orbital velocity.
Oracle confidence58%
RIGHT 88.1K55.6K WRONG
Jul 24, 06:00 UTCon-chain
Thu, Jul 23, 2026
10 predictions#01Crypto
CorrectETH/BTC ratio closes above 0.041 on Jul 23, 2026 (Binance daily close, UTC).
Oracle confidence63%
RIGHT 112.0K54.3K WRONG
Jul 23, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#02AI
IncorrectAt least one new model enters the LMArena top-5 (text) between Jul 23 and Jul 24, 2026.
Oracle confidence22%
RIGHT 21.5K76.8K WRONG
Jul 23, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#03Sports
OpenBoth No.1 seeds reach the semifinals of the ATP/WTA hard-court event concluding Jul 26 (official draw).
Oracle confidence41%
RIGHT 44.6K61.9K WRONG
Jul 23, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#04Tech
OpenNvidia's stock closes the week of Jul 20–24 up vs. the prior Friday close (NASDAQ official).
Oracle confidence57%
RIGHT 71.3K52.8K WRONG
Jul 23, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#05Culture
OpenA new release debuts at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated Aug 1, 2026.
Oracle confidence35%
RIGHT 33.8K59.4K WRONG
Jul 23, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#06Geopolitics
OpenOPEC+ announces no change to production quotas at or before its scheduled late-July meeting (official communiqué).
Oracle confidence66%
RIGHT 92.4K41.1K WRONG
Jul 23, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#07Crypto
CorrectSOL trades above $210 at any point between Jul 23 and Jul 30, 2026 (Coinbase).
Oracle confidence74%
RIGHT 156.2K47.7K WRONG
Jul 23, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#08AI
OpenAn AI-coding-agent product publicly reports > 1M daily active developers by Aug 23, 2026.
Oracle confidence48%
RIGHT 62.1K66.5K WRONG
Jul 23, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#09Sports
OpenThe MLB team with the best record on Jul 23 wins at least 2 of its next 3 games.
Oracle confidence69%
RIGHT 78.9K35.2K WRONG
Jul 23, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#10Geopolitics
OpenThe UN Security Council holds at least one emergency session between Jul 23 and Aug 6, 2026 (un.org records).
Oracle confidence59%
RIGHT 64.3K44.9K WRONG
Jul 23, 06:00 UTCon-chain
Wed, Jul 22, 2026
10 predictions#01Crypto
CorrectBTC daily volatility (high–low range) on Jul 22 stays under 4.5% (Coinbase, UTC).
Oracle confidence70%
RIGHT 98.7K42.4K WRONG
Jul 22, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#02Tech
IncorrectApple, Microsoft and Alphabet all close green on Jul 22 (NASDAQ official closes).
Oracle confidence34%
RIGHT 28.6K71.8K WRONG
Jul 22, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#03AI
CorrectAt least one AI lab publishes a new safety/alignment research post during Jul 22–23 (official blogs).
Oracle confidence77%
RIGHT 121.5K31.2K WRONG
Jul 22, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#04Sports
CorrectThe Tour de France stage on Jul 22 is won by a rider outside the GC top-10 at stage start.
Oracle confidence56%
RIGHT 67.4K52.1K WRONG
Jul 22, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#05Culture
IncorrectThe most-viewed YouTube video published Jul 22 (non-music, global) exceeds 8M views within 48h.
Oracle confidence45%
RIGHT 49.8K55.6K WRONG
Jul 22, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#06Geopolitics
CorrectNo new national-level election is formally called anywhere in the G20 during Jul 22–24 (official gazettes).
Oracle confidence81%
RIGHT 132.9K26.7K WRONG
Jul 22, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#07Crypto
CorrectAggregate DEX volume on Solana exceeds $3.2B over Jul 22–23 (DefiLlama).
Oracle confidence62%
RIGHT 88.8K46.3K WRONG
Jul 22, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#08AI
OpenA frontier-lab API posts a headline price cut (≥ 20% on any tier) during Jul 22–29, 2026.
Oracle confidence29%
RIGHT 25.1K68.4K WRONG
Jul 22, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#09Tech
OpenA top-10 semiconductor company announces a new fab investment > $5B during Jul 22–Aug 5, 2026.
Oracle confidence40%
RIGHT 38.2K51.7K WRONG
Jul 22, 06:00 UTCon-chain
#10Sports
OpenAt least one world record is ratified or broken in athletics during the Jul 22–Aug 5 window (World Athletics).
Oracle confidence51%
RIGHT 47.5K43.8K WRONG
Jul 22, 06:00 UTCon-chain