ORACLE
10 falsifiable predictions. Every day. Forever on-chain.

The oracle that learns.

An AI that commits precise predictions to Solana and can never delete them. Its calibration is public. Stake $ORACLE on whether it's right — the system rewards calibration, not moon math.

oracle-daemon · committing batch 2026-07-24live
oracle@solana:~/predictions$ commit --day 2026-07-24 --index 1
1/10
0
Predictions committed
0.0%
Accuracy (resolved)
0.000
Brier score
0
Days without deletion
BTC closes above $118,000 on at least 4 of the next 7 daily closes (Coinbase, UTC).68%Total value locked in Solana DeFi (DefiLlama) exceeds $14.5B before Aug 7, 2026.55%An open-weights model scores ≥ 88% on GPQA Diamond on an independently verified leaderboard by Aug 24, 2026.44%At least one of the top-5 US tech companies announces a consumer AR glasses product with a ship date before year-end, by Aug 15, 2026.31%The current UEFA Super Cup favourite (per closing Pinnacle odds) wins the Aug 12 match in regulation time.52%The #1 film at the US box office this weekend (Jul 24–26) grosses under $45M domestically (Box Office Mojo actuals).61%The EU formally announces a new sanctions package against at least one state actor before Aug 10, 2026 (Official Journal of the EU).72%A major AI lab publicly releases a model card citing > 10M token context window in a shipped product by Aug 31, 2026.27%At least 3 of the top-20 tokens by market cap (excl. stables) post a 7-day return above +15% by Jul 31, 2026 (CoinGecko).38%SpaceX completes at least 2 Starship launches between Jul 24 and Aug 24, 2026, with both reaching orbital velocity.58%ETH/BTC ratio closes above 0.041 on Jul 23, 2026 (Binance daily close, UTC).63%At least one new model enters the LMArena top-5 (text) between Jul 23 and Jul 24, 2026.22%Both No.1 seeds reach the semifinals of the ATP/WTA hard-court event concluding Jul 26 (official draw).41%Nvidia's stock closes the week of Jul 20–24 up vs. the prior Friday close (NASDAQ official).57%BTC closes above $118,000 on at least 4 of the next 7 daily closes (Coinbase, UTC).68%Total value locked in Solana DeFi (DefiLlama) exceeds $14.5B before Aug 7, 2026.55%An open-weights model scores ≥ 88% on GPQA Diamond on an independently verified leaderboard by Aug 24, 2026.44%At least one of the top-5 US tech companies announces a consumer AR glasses product with a ship date before year-end, by Aug 15, 2026.31%The current UEFA Super Cup favourite (per closing Pinnacle odds) wins the Aug 12 match in regulation time.52%The #1 film at the US box office this weekend (Jul 24–26) grosses under $45M domestically (Box Office Mojo actuals).61%The EU formally announces a new sanctions package against at least one state actor before Aug 10, 2026 (Official Journal of the EU).72%A major AI lab publicly releases a model card citing > 10M token context window in a shipped product by Aug 31, 2026.27%At least 3 of the top-20 tokens by market cap (excl. stables) post a 7-day return above +15% by Jul 31, 2026 (CoinGecko).38%SpaceX completes at least 2 Starship launches between Jul 24 and Aug 24, 2026, with both reaching orbital velocity.58%ETH/BTC ratio closes above 0.041 on Jul 23, 2026 (Binance daily close, UTC).63%At least one new model enters the LMArena top-5 (text) between Jul 23 and Jul 24, 2026.22%Both No.1 seeds reach the semifinals of the ATP/WTA hard-court event concluding Jul 26 (official draw).41%Nvidia's stock closes the week of Jul 20–24 up vs. the prior Friday close (NASDAQ official).57%

Prophecy, made accountable

Crypto loves oracles. This one keeps receipts.

10 predictions, daily

Every day at 06:00 UTC the oracle publishes 10 precise, falsifiable predictions across crypto, tech, AI, sports, culture and carefully-sourced geopolitics.

Committed on Solana

Each prediction is hashed and timestamped in a Solana transaction. Nothing can be edited, backdated, or quietly deleted. Ever.

The crowd takes a side

Stake $ORACLE on whether the oracle is RIGHT or WRONG. Pools settle when the prediction resolves against its pre-declared source.

Calibration is the score

The oracle is graded on Brier score, not vibes. Saying 70% and being right 70% of the time is the win condition — no drama, no moonboys.

Forecasters earn

Consistently well-calibrated outside forecasters earn $ORACLE emissions. Spend tokens to request the categories you want predicted.

Firewalled from markets

The model never trades, holds, or routes orders in markets it predicts. A 3% pool fee funds inference and data — nothing else.

Today's batch

Fri, Jul 24, 2026 · committed 06:00 UTC

All predictions
Live demo — same model, same rules

Ask the oracle anything

It will rewrite your question into a falsifiable prediction and put a calibrated probability on it. Demo answers aren't committed on-chain.

The scoreboard nobody can fake

When the oracle says 70%, it should be right about 70% of the time — that's calibration, and it's the only metric that matters here. Every resolved prediction feeds a public curve. The diagonal is perfection; drift is failure, on display forever.

0.169
Brier score (all-time)
68.2%
Accuracy on 1,118 resolved
Full calibration report

$ORACLE mechanics

The token rewards being right about being right. Launching fair on pump.fun — no presale, no team allocation games.

Stake

Right or wrong pools

Every prediction opens a two-sided pool. Stake $ORACLE on RIGHT or WRONG; winners split the losing side pro-rata at resolution.

Request

Buy the agenda

Spend $ORACLE to request prediction categories. The next daily batch weights toward what holders paid to see.

Earn

Calibration mining

Outside forecasters with a strong public track record earn emissions. Brier score decides — not follower count.

Burn

3% pool fee

A small fee from settled pools funds inference and data feeds. The oracle pays its own compute bill, transparently.

Bet on the machine.
Or bet against it.

Either way, the record is permanent.